Imagine the project already failed, then work backward to find why. More powerful than risk assessment because it assumes failure is certain. Use when user says "pre-mortem", "premortem", "imagine thi
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Risk Assessment: "What MIGHT go wrong?" ā Optimism bias filters answers Pre-Mortem: "It's 6 months later. It FAILED. Why?" ā Liberates honest analysis
Research: Pre-mortems increase problem identification by 30%.
PROJECT: [Name] FAILURE SCENARIO: "It's [date]. [Project] has completely failed."WHY IT FAILED:
š„ PEOPLE: [Cause] - LĆI: H/H | Prevent: [x] | Warning: [y] āļø PROCESS: [Cause] - LĆI: M/H | Prevent: [x] | Warning: [y] š» TECHNOLOGY: [Cause] - LĆI: L/H | Prevent: [x] | Warning: [y] š EXTERNAL: [Cause] - LĆI: M/M | Prevent: [x] | Warning: [y]
TOP 3 PRIORITIES:
- [Risk] ā [Specific action]
- [Risk] ā [Specific action]
- [Risk] ā [Specific action]
WARNING SIGNS TO MONITOR: ā” [Early indicator 1] ā” [Early indicator 2]
| Category | Common Causes |
|---|---|
| People | Key person leaves, skill gaps, misalignment, low buy-in |
| Process | Aggressive timeline, scope creep, dependency issues |
| Tech | Doesn't scale, integration fails, security breach |
| External | Market shift, competitor move, regulation change |
Compounds with:
See references/examples.md for Artem-specific pre-mortems
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